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Drifting Sideways With Hope

Well, folks:

It should be quite clear that the market as of late has not kept pace with the strength of recent earnings growth.

 

The News; The Good, Bad and No Ugly

 

Well, folks:

 

We did have a bout of market jitters in the first quarter caused by fears of an all-out trade war and some non-farm payroll decreases ( that were probably weather related) that signaled an economic slowdown.

 
 

The Battle Over Trade and Tariffs

Hi folks,

 

I spent a good part of last Friday at Wellington Management in Boston focused on the global markets, trade, tariffs and what could become a protracted and heated exchange between the U.S. and China.

 

Ready, Fire, Aim

Hi, folks: the first quarter started fast, and soon turned into a bumpy ride. Volatility, long absent, has returned and shown itself in both positive and negative short-term moves. We started the New Year with a stock market that was fully priced by most measures. I believe that the threat of imposing tariffs on imports from some of our most important trading partners could have been the catalyst that triggered the first large (700 point decline).

Times: They are a' Changing

Hi folks,

 

As we slog through the stock market of February-March, it appears quite clear that January ended a long and pleasant stock market run, earmarked by the absence of volatility - especially down volatility. I guess we were right when we cautioned that this seemingly unnatural, extended upward trajectory would not go on forever.

The Looming Four Ts

Hi folks,

I learned early on in my career, while financing energy producers in Oklahoma and Texas, that the Heads of the Seven Sisters, in part, formulated most of our Middle East policies. That name, which was taken from the 7 mythological Pleaides sisters taken by the Titan Atlas, was later adopted as a description of the 7 largest multinational oil companies in the world. The companies are as follows:

Drama and Doings in the White House

Hi Folks

The Trump Presidency seems to provide a constant source of material/ news for the press. 

Diverging Trends

Hi Folks, It’s finally sunny in Rhode Island today after a long run of gloomy days.

Value Line Sums It Up

Hi folks, this summary below written by VALUE LINE on another down draft in the market shows that all selling hasn’t been exhausted yet. VALUE LINE is one of the oldest and my most highly regarded Investment Research Services in the core platform that I pay for. I believe their summary identifies all of the issues with clarity. All of the additional sources of research that I read seems to concur with their conclusions. The markets have been delivering some fairly outsized returns for the last several years. The best way to describe today’s market behavior is a correction to the markets’ overpricing of the business returns earned by the underlying companies.

Looking Back on 2017

Hi folks, there are a lot of ways from an investment standpoint to evaluate 2017. According to Callan’s Periodic table, here are just a peek at some of the results.